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“It would be dangerous to use the potential for resource exploitation as a selling point for military engagement,” said Laurel Miller, a senior analyst at the RAND Corp. who served until last month as the State Department’s special representative for Afghanistan and Pakistan. “The barriers to entry are really quite considerable, and that kind of argument could fuel suspicion about America’s real intentions in Afghanistan.”

But for Trump, as a businessman, it is arguably the only appealing thing about Afghanistan. a valuable new beachhead in the market for rare earth minerals, which has been all but monopolized by China.

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Vice President Mike Pence, not McMaster, will lead a meeting Wednesday of National Security Council principals on Afghanistan. Some officials said that reflected McMaster’s isolation; others said that the general welcomed Pence’s involvement and that the two were closely aligned on the policy.

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